Transmission Adequacy Consulting
· Wind and Solar ATC Studies (Ask for a free introductory test case.)
· New ATC sub OPF model and N-2 AC loadflow solutions
· New PTDF model lists the generators causing congestion
· New distance calculator quickly finds nearby generators
· Composite Generation/Transmission Reliability Studies
· Review Electric Network Studies Prepared by Others
· Low Fees Charged for Advanced Studies (~$1000)
· Quick Turnaround on Study Requests
Eugene G. Preston, PhD, PE
6121 Soter Parkway
Austin, TX 78735-6100
Texas P.E. Board Registration
Eugene G. Preston's Resume (& clients)
Where are we headed here in Texas with our resource planning efforts?
Note that ERCOT does not do generation planning. That is left to the market.
ERCOT envisions wind, natural gas, peak shaving solar, and growth reductions.
This plan is dependent on abundant natural gas and no CO2 regs for using gas.
Flow batteries are the most likely technology to replace natural gas backups.
Solar will find a permanent home for peak load shaving but not for base load.
To serve base load with wind will require an inordinate amount of wind power.
By 2100 nearly all the west and coastal areas would be covered by wind farms.
The energy storage requirements would be enormous because wind is so erratic.
The public knows little about the IFR but it holds great promise for our kids.
I would recommend a future wind, solar, flow batteries, and IFR nuclear plan.
A robust plan is 20 GW solar, 20 GW wind, 20 GW batteries, and 20 GW nuclear.
Once we have this or another base case working we can build alternatve cases.
Note that noone has actually shown that a future non fossil plan is workable.
A valid study must be a loss of load study that meets the 0.1 days/year LOLE.
What is the difference between ERCOT's LOLEV (loss of load event) and the LOLE (loss of load expectation) standards?
Note that an LOLE of 1 day (in 10 years) does not mean a 24 hour period but rather is the sum of the probability of not meeting the daily load sums to 0.1 for a test year.
Dissertation on composite generation/transmission reliability (1.3 Mb) Appendices
A B C D and
Bibliography and Defense
IEEE paper on generation reliability modeling with transmission constraints
IEEE paper on transmission reliability modeling for multiple line outages (zipflow)
My lecture to Dr Mack Grady's class on how I perform ATC studies.
My dissertation also revealed a way to perform Piecewise Quadratic time domain analysis.
Dr Gene Preston's classes at The University of Texas (actively taught from 2005 - 2008).
The Integral Fast Reactor, an ultimate energy source, is one of the US government's best kept secrets.
Articles on: 2014 Energy and CO2 and Polar Ice Melting and Ocean Rise.
Although Tivo Roamio has dropped rss feeds VOD you might be able to get to some of the video files using a Youtube search.
For example type in Gemini Observatory to see the videos the observatory has posted. Tivo does a good job of finding them.
An even more interesting Youtube search is for ESO Telescope which has some really interesting videos posted on line that Tivo readily finds.
Twitter comments I have posted discussing energy and climate change issues.
How to get the Intel widi to work on your PC - Actiontec Screenbeam Pro vs Netgear PTV3000 vs LG TV widi.
Even a variable speed of light would appear to be a constant.
'Secret Access UFOs On The Record' seems to have credible witnesses.
Scientists discuss the consequences of alien contact.
Links to other K5GP amateur radio info.
K5GP's radio noise tracking equipment.
Boomer Block Pools information.